welcome to the organic green doctor blog

i am a family physician who was diagnosed with
early mild cognitive impairment(mci) amnestic type on december 21, 2010
this is a precursor to alzheimers disease
because of this diagnosis i have opted to stop practicing medicine
this blog will be about my journey with this disease
please feel free to follow me along this path
i will continue blogging on organic gardening, green living,
solar power, rainwater collection, and healthy living
i will blog on these plus other things noted to be interesting

Monday, November 9, 2020

covid 19-what goes up may not come down...for awhile

recently i hand drew this rough map of the course of the covid 19 spread in the united states this year
we are now on our third wave or peak of infections
this third wave or peak will continue to go higher and higher before it peaks
it may not peak until 2-3 months from now
now that graph could be cases or it could be hospitalizations or it could be deaths
the curves look the same
they just occur about a month apart
cases then in a couple of weeks hospitalizations then in 2-4 weeks deaths

we are now having about 105,000+ cases a day
predictions are that may double or triple
the deaths we have had may double triple or quadruple
ie go from 250,000 to maybe if it gets real bad to 1 million thats 1,000,000 americans that die from it

if it does get that bad then its unlikely that any of us will not lose a family member

it is worse in the mid to upper midwest 
it seems thats probably where its coldest right now

as we all enter this fall winter time when it gets colder and we all get stuck even more inside
we need to be even more vigilant in being safe

avoid gatherings
a recent article from stanford said that recent political rallies may have led to 30,000 cases and 700 deaths
the notre dame game where all the students stormed all packed onto the notre dome fields will more than likely lead to an increase in covid 19 cases
these students wont get very sick but their parents and grandparents will
if they catch it some may die
the school could end up having to shut down

do look closely at gatherings you attend
they put you and your loved ones at risk
birthday parties
sporting events 
inside restaurants
these are all high risk things to do that will only get more high risk as we go through the winter

remember over 50% of cases come from people who you know
they probably had no symptoms or minimal symptoms
a negative test doesnt mean you dont have it 
it just means the test was negative
my test was negative but its unlikely that what i had wasnt covid 19
now 7 months later if i had these symptoms i would do 2 or 3 tests if my first one was negative

what happens in the next few weeks and months again in all up to us

its all like science and math
1+2+3=6 every time
2 parts hydrogen + 1 part oxygen makes water every time
its accurate it dont lie

what to do is like science and math
its accurate and it dont lie
wearing a mask + keeping a safe distance + washing your hands + avoiding gatherings =less covid 19 infections which leads to less hospitalizations which leads to less deaths

it just simple science that we can all participate in
its really all up to us

remember this virus doesnt care what age you are what sex you are what color you are who you voted for it just wants victims to attack

the vaccines are coming but we have to get through this winter into the summer and spring before we can really slow the virus down

we just want to get to the other side of this with our family still with us
we are all going to have to keep sacrificing all those things we really want to do like go on vacations and go to gatherings and go out to eat and go to movies and go to sporting events and more stuff

this covid 19 thing is our war and we have to do what it takes to end that war

again whether that happens is up to us

the organicgreen doctor

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