welcome to the organic green doctor blog

i am a family physician who was diagnosed with
early mild cognitive impairment(mci) amnestic type on december 21, 2010
this is a precursor to alzheimers disease
because of this diagnosis i have opted to stop practicing medicine
this blog will be about my journey with this disease
please feel free to follow me along this path
i will continue blogging on organic gardening, green living,
solar power, rainwater collection, and healthy living
i will blog on these plus other things noted to be interesting

Monday, September 20, 2021

covid 19-will there be another peak


the answer to the question in the title of todays blog

does it have to happen

will it

1 in 500 americans have died from covid
1 in 35 folks older than 85 died 
1 in 150 folks from 65-84 died
thats a lot of lost grandparents
554 kids died
1% of infected kids get admitted
0.01% of infected kids die
240,000 kids have been infected in the last couple of weeks
in total 660,000+ americans have died from covid
almost all unvaxxed
even today when the vaxxines are readily available

it doesnt have to be that way
sadly it is

in mississippi its 1 in 330 died from covid
in arkansas its 1 in 410
in texas its 1 in 490
in florida its 1 in 440
in california its 1 in 590
in vermont its 1 in 2100

how to prevent the peak
all wear masks whether masked or unmasked
more aggressive vaxxine mandates
vaxxine requirements for schools colleges medical care facilities etc
vaxxine requirements for participation in events plus wear a mask
vaxxing kids from 5-12 next month
vaxxing kids from 6 months to 5 the next month
avoiding large gatherings yes weddings etc

if thats done there will not be a winter peak
we may start to see the pandemic putter and slow down a lot so that things can really get back to almost normal again

i was daydreaming there for a minute
you know thats not going to happen
thats just asking too much of us americans

here is the link to the university of washington covid prediction model
its been pretty accurate
by december 31 its projected the death toll will reach 775,000+
the worst case would be 893,000+ deaths 

in my zip code 70+% are fully vaxxed
that number will climb a lot when the kiddos get vaxxed
when you go to a store here folks have masks on 100%
in a concert here last night you had to have a vax card to get in or a negative covid test
if you added a mask requirement to that then that event was fairly safe
not 100% though

our walk to end alzheimers is still scheduled to happen live in november here in santa barbara
i have chosen to not participate this year even though i usually speak for a few minutes each year
vaxxines are not required
masks may or not be required
they are recommended
thats not good enough for me
even though by that time i will be triple vaxxed
maybe next year ill do the walk
thats what i said last year
hopefully thats not what ill say next year

so for us here in santa barbara i foresee things improving in a few months
thankfully we live where things are being done to slow down this pandemic locally 
much better than in those places that are suffering right now
they sadly to say will continue to see things get worse 

there will be a slowing next month but things will go up again with thanksgiving christmas new years day and cold weather spreading this aggressive contagious delta variant

remember even if you are double vaxxed you can get covid
usually unless you are immunocompromised you may not get real sick
even if your are vaxxed you can still spread covid

your kids if they get covid probably wont get real sick but they can still spread covid

we may not peak here
sadly many of yall live where there will be another peak or surge

it doesnt have to be that way 
what more can i say

the organicgreen doctor

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